NFL Draft

#10
Justin Herbert
Rating Yards TD
156.8 3471 32
Team: Oregon DucksHeight: 6-6 Born: N/A
Position: QBWeight: 237 Hometown: Eugene, Oregon
Class-Eligibility: Sr-Sr


Scouting Report

OVERVIEW

Herbert, a three-star recruit, started 42 games at Oregon, capping his career with an MVP award in the Rose Bowl when he rushed for three touchdowns -- including a 30-yarder -- in a 28-27 win over Wisconsin. A good athlete for his size, he reached career passing totals of 10,541 yards and 95 touchdowns, with 23 interceptions. A two-time academic All-American likely to impress with his mental skills on and off the field.

Herbert impressed throughout the week at the Senior Bowl and won the game's MVP, then impressed -- as expected -- at the NFL Scouting Combine. His 4.68-second 40-yard dash tied for third-fastest among quarterbacks, and he had the fastest 3-cone time (7.06) while placing top-three in the jumps.

ANALYSIS

Herbert was easily the most consistent, accurate passer at the Senior Bowl. Physical prototype with rare size for the position and weight evenly distributed on an athletic, toned frame. Has a rocket for a right arm, showing above-average velocity when he can step into passes and the ability to zip passes at a three-quarters arm angle with defenders tearing at his legs. You can hang laundry on his frozen ropes to the sideline from the opposite hash, easily checking the traditional "deep out" box. Quick set-up and delivery of the football with quick release -- rare for a quarterback with his long limbs. Generally an accurate passer, flashing the ability to make the "special" throw, including on tightly covered out-breaking routes deep down the sideline, late crossers and posts over the middle (Washington 2019) and while back-pedaling against pressure. Stares down the barrel and will deliver accurate tough-guy throws with defenders closing in, inspiring teammates. Runs like a deer, getting to top speed quickly and galloping for chunks of yards when the defense allows it. Pillow-soft touch on passes to backs in the flats and tight ends down the seam, dropping it over defenders' out-stretched arms and making the catch easy for teammates. Humble, polite and intelligent.

Herbert is inconsistent with his footwork and follow-through, leading to too many off-target throws for a four-year starter. Flashes exciting accuracy while on the move (Auburn) but tosses far too many worm-burners, with the ball often skipping at the feet of intended receivers. Doesn't re-set well enough and throws too many half-cocked passes, spraying the ball and making it difficult on his receivers. Ugly throw out of the back of the end zone in the closing seconds against Auburn epitomize a reputation for failing to deliver in high pressure situations. Small-town, soft-spoken personality, which may make him the perfect candidate to marry your daughter but not necessarily the field general some expect at quarterback. He said he worked during his senior season to make himself more "uncomfortable" by being more vocal. Comes with some medical concerns. Broke his femur as a junior in high school (2014), an injury that resulted in surgery, including the insertion of screws. Right-hander broke his left collarbone as a sophomore in 2017.

PRO COMPARISON

Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans -- Tannehill played receiver early at Texas A&M before making the transition to quarterback, earning his selection with the eighth overall pick by Miami in 2012 in part because of his seemingly untapped potential. The team that gambles on Herbert is banking on his exceptional physical traits and work ethic. He is not, however, the "sure thing" that his statistics (and hype) suggest.

Projection: 1st Round

--Field Level Media


Career Passing Stats

Year Team G Cmp Att Comp % Yds Yd/A TDs Int Sacked Yds
2016 Oregon  9 162 255 63.5 1936 7.6 19 4 19 112
2017 Oregon  8 139 206 67.5 1983 9.6 15 5 10 66
2018 Oregon  13 240 404 59.4 3151 7.8 29 8 21 145
2019 Oregon  14 286 428 66.8 3471 8.1 32 6 24 173
Career   44 827 1293 64.0 10541 8.2 95 23 74 496

Career Rushing/Receiving Stats

Year Team G Rush Yds Yd/Rush TDs Rec Yds Yd/Rec TDs
2016 Oregon  9 58 161 2.8 2 0 0 - 0
2017 Oregon  8 44 183 4.2 5 0 0 - 0
2018 Oregon  13 71 166 2.3 2 0 0 - 0
2019 Oregon  14 58 50 0.9 4 0 0 - 0
Career   44 231 560 2.4 13 0 0 - 0

Career Defensive Stats

Year Team G Int Yds TDs
2017 Oregon  8 0
2018 Oregon  13 0
Career   44 0

Offensive Logs

  Passing Rushing Receiving
Date Opp Cmp Att Yds Pct TDs Int Long Car Yds Avg TDs Long Rec Yds Avg TDs Long
8/31/2019 @ Auburn 28 37 242 75.7 1 0 47 8 -16 -2.0 0 7 0 0 - 0 -
9/7/2019 Nevada 19 26 310 73.1 5 0 66 0 0 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 -
9/14/2019 Mont 30 42 316 71.4 5 0 21 2 18 9.0 0 11 0 0 - 0 -
9/21/2019 @ Stan 19 24 259 79.2 3 0 36 5 -22 -4.4 0 3 0 0 - 0 -
10/5/2019 Cal 20 33 214 60.6 1 1 30 4 32 8.0 0 26 0 0 - 0 -
10/11/2019 Colo 18 32 261 56.3 2 0 39 1 -12 -12.0 0 0 0 0 - 0 -
10/19/2019 @ Wash 24 38 280 63.2 4 0 36 0 4 - 0 0 0 0 - 0 -
10/26/2019 WashSt 21 30 222 70.0 0 0 27 8 -8 -1.0 0 12 0 0 - 0 -
11/2/2019 @ USC 21 26 225 80.8 3 1 37 4 8 2.0 1 14 0 0 - 0 -
11/16/2019 Ari 20 28 333 71.4 4 1 73 4 -16 -4.0 0 3 0 0 - 0 -
11/23/2019 @ AriSt 20 36 304 55.6 2 2 39 2 -9 -4.5 0 0 0 0 - 0 -
11/30/2019 OreSt 18 30 174 60.0 1 0 28 4 22 5.5 0 24 0 0 - 0 -
12/6/2019 Utah 14 26 193 53.8 1 0 50 7 20 2.9 0 13 0 0 - 0 -
1/1/2020 @ Wisc 14 20 138 70.0 0 1 28 9 29 3.2 3 30 0 0 - 0 -
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